The New York Mets (-160) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+135) on Thursday, August 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Mets are 60-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 58-57 ATS.

Mets vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 5-1, 3.51 ERA
• Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 3-7, 4.71 ERA

Mets vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 60.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 away games (+36.50 Units / 304% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+14.40 Units / 46% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 26% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+11.25 Units / 42% ROI)
• Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.95 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brenton Doyle has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 33 games (+34.80 Units / 105% ROI)
• Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 66% ROI)
• Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.95 Units / 79% ROI)
• Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 53% ROI)
• Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+9.45 Units / 37% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 55 games (+13.90 Units / 19% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 62 of their last 105 games (+11.20 Units / 9% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 56 games (+10.85 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 66 games (+6.50 Units / 7% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 73 games (+5.85 Units / 7% ROI)

Rockies Best Bets Today:

• The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.75 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 38 games at home (+8.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 38 games at home (+7.20 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.90 Units / 42% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 56-58 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -1.88% ROI).

• 60-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 0.69% ROI
• 57-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 0.52% ROI
• 51-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.9 Units / -8.94% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 58-57 against the Run Line (-11.4 Units / -7.97% ROI).

• 42-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -7.54% ROI
• 57-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.5 Units / -3.59% ROI
• 56-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -5.41% ROI

Rockies vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

David Peterson has allowed an OBP of .382 (469 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 57% (56/98) against David Peterson on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 0 Percentile.

David Peterson has a strike rate of just 61% (2,208/3,635) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (61/104) against David Peterson when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 98th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .755 (37 Total Bases / 49 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .398 — first Percentile.

15 of Austin Gomber’s 51 breaking pitch strikeouts (29%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (61/351) against Austin Gomber this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (172/884) against Austin Gomber this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

  
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