Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 7
Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 7

The Philadelphia Phillies (+115) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-140) on Wednesday, August 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Phillies are 67-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 55-59 ATS.

Phillies vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Tyler Phillips 3-1, 4.39 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Gavin Stone 9-5, 3.63 ERA

Phillies vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 50 games (+17.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+12.00 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+11.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+11.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Edmundo Sosa has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 18 away games (+9.80 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nick Ahmed has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games at home (+20.00 Units / 222% ROI)
  • Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 38 games (+16.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.35 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.80 Units / 49% ROI)

  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 60 of their last 98 games (+19.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 96 games (+17.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 57 of their last 95 games (+11.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 56 of their last 96 games (+9.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 94 games (+5.20 Units / 5% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games at home (+10.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+4.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+4.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 24 games (+4.25 Units / 15% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 57-56 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -0.18% ROI).

  • 67-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -0.49% ROI
  • 52-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.2 Units / -8.16% ROI
  • 56-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -1.13% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 55-59 against the Run Line (-10.45 Units / -7.56% ROI).

  • 66-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.75 Units / -6.87% ROI
  • 59-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -0.28% ROI
  • 54-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.9 Units / -8.66% ROI

Dodgers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +210 0.5 -250
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Dodgers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160

Dodgers vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Alec Bohm (PHI) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Dodgers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gavin Stone (LAD) 4.5 -130 4.5 +100
Tyler Phillips (PHI) 3.5 -125 3.5 -105

Tyler Phillips has a strikeout rate of just 11% (2 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd lowest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.

Tyler Phillips has struck out just 8% (2/24) of left-handed batters he faced in his last two starts — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% — fourth Percentile.

Tyler Phillips has allowed a slugging percentage of .706 (12 Total Bases / 17 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 5th highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .438 — 10th Percentile.

Tyler Phillips has allowed an OPS of 1.095 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — 6th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .724 — sixth Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Gavin Stone has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH against his fastballs since last season (220 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 90.8

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% (75/220) against Gavin Stone on fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Gavin Stone has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to July 3rd — Carlos Rodon has the longest active streak at 8.

Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 12% (16 SO in 138 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

  
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