The Milwaukee Brewers (+135) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-160) on Wednesday, August 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Brewers are 63-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 50-62 ATS.
Brewers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 6-6, 3.91 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 13-3, 2.73 ERA
Brewers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Brewers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+15.35 Units / 66% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+15.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+13.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+13.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+12.80 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+20.20 Units / 224% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+13.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 34 of his last 44 games (+13.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+13.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 43 games (+13.10 Units / 30% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 60 of their last 108 games (+14.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 112 games (+8.05 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 112 games (+7.25 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 84 games (+6.20 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 98 games (+30.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.65 Units / 21% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 58-54 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 0.64% ROI).
- 63-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 5.09% ROI
- 61-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.25 Units / 10.02% ROI
- 45-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.4 Units / -18.04% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 50-62 against the Run Line (-14.1 Units / -10.62% ROI).
- 60-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.95 Units / -10.87% ROI
- 40-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -33 Units / -26.97% ROI
- 67-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.8 Units / 18.36% ROI
Braves vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Braves vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Braves vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Braves vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has walked 7 of 22 left-handed batters (32%) in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .203 (86-for-423) against Freddy Peralta when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 31% (145 SO in 467 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 59% (418/713) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .203 (55 Total Bases / 271 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .357 — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 35% (63 SO in 180 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
22 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed an OPS of just .478 (180 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .666 — 100th Percentile.