The St. Louis Cardinals (+130) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-155) on Sunday, August 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Cardinals are 57-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 54-59 ATS.
Cardinals vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 8-8, 5.01 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele 2-5, 3.37 ERA
Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+27.85 Units / 77% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 46 games (+21.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 52% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+9.85 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 34 games (+24.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 43 games (+22.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+21.20 Units / 88% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+17.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 45 games (+14.25 Units / 25% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 57 away games (+7.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 away games (+5.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.30 Units / 31% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+12.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+11.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 101 games (+11.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+5.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.05 Units / 54% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 56-55 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -1.78% ROI).
- 57-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -5.57% ROI
- 54-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -3.05% ROI
- 52-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.5 Units / -6.2% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 54-59 against the Run Line (-17.1 Units / -10.94% ROI).
- 54-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -4.14% ROI
- 49-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -17 Units / -13.64% ROI
- 60-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.4 Units / 5.16% ROI
Cubs vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Cubs vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Justin Steele (CHC) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .598 (113 Total Bases / 189 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .518 (71 Total Bases / 137 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .563 (139 Total Bases / 247 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .357 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has walked 6 of 198 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (1,294/2,885) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (518/1,134) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (329/741) when behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has walked 16 of 413 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 93rd Percentile.