The Colorado Rockies (+145) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-175) on Sunday, August 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Rockies are 41-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 58-54 ATS.

Rockies vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rockies starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 7-7, 4.53 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Matt Waldron 6-9, 3.90 ERA

Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Michael Toglia has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 43 games (+34.10 Units / 79% ROI)
• Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.90 Units / 38% ROI)
• Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.95 Units / 49% ROI)
• Jake Cave has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 away games (+11.05 Units / 26% ROI)
• Cal Quantrill has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.15 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 41 games (+35.00 Units / 85% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+14.60 Units / 51% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.25 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+11.65 Units / 23% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Walks Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+10.55 Units / 15% ROI)

Rockies Best Bets Today:

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 76 games (+6.95 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 away games (+5.85 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+5.55 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.45 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.15 Units / 50% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.30 Units / 24% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 80 games (+9.15 Units / 9% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.35 Units / 42% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.10 Units / 17% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 57-55 against the Run Line (-10.2 Units / -7.3% ROI).

• 41-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.95 Units / -7.12% ROI
• 56-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -2.67% ROI
• 54-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.7 Units / -6.29% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 58-54 against the Run Line (+6.05 Units / 4.29% ROI).

• 60-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -1.04% ROI
• 59-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 1.92% ROI
• 52-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.55 Units / -10.88% ROI

Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cal Quantrill has a strike rate of just 59% (622/1,056) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has allowed a slugging percentage of .661 (37 Total Bases / 56 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .354 — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has allowed an OBP of .301 (269 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — fifth Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 19% (38 SO in 198 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 13th Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 23% (101/438) against Matt Waldron this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 27% (20/73) against Matt Waldron on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 21% (17/80) against Matt Waldron when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 166 of Matt Waldron’s 748 off-speed pitches out of the zone (22%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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