The Tampa Bay Rays (+130) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-155) on Friday, August 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Rays are 55-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 54-54 ATS.

Rays vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 0-1, 3.66 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 4-9, 4.76 ERA

Rays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 20 away games (+20.60 Units / 103% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 47 games (+14.45 Units / 23% ROI)
• Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 33 games (+13.95 Units / 31% ROI)
• Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
• Brandon Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 27 games (+11.35 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 games at home (+20.50 Units / 82% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 50 games (+20.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+14.95 Units / 22% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.95 Units / 19% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games at home (+11.75 Units / 51% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 66 of their last 105 games (+24.00 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 57 of their last 99 games (+11.00 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.75 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 away games (+6.00 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+5.15 Units / 15% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 91 games (+13.35 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+13.00 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 72 games (+7.80 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+7.20 Units / 23% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 53-55 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -3.5% ROI).

• 55-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -6.4% ROI
• 52-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -5.01% ROI
• 53-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -3.2% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 54-54 against the Run Line (+0.25 Units / 0.19% ROI).

• 56-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.65 Units / -6.98% ROI
• 44-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.5 Units / -19.04% ROI
• 61-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.5 Units / 10.45% ROI

Astros vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (8/13) against Shane Baz in his last start — tied for 6th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — 94th Percentile.

Shane Baz has allowed an OPS of just .332 (22 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — 3rd best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .664 — 95th Percentile.

Shane Baz has allowed an OBP of just .182 (22 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — 5th best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .281 — 91st Percentile.

The last hit on a Shane Baz breaking pitch was July 21st. Hitters are 0 for their last 16 in ABs ending on his breaking pitches. — Tyler Glasnow has the longest active streak at 25.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .468 (29-for-62) against Yusei Kikuchi when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .326 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .286 (52-for-182) against Yusei Kikuchi when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — eighth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .234 (11-for-47) against Yusei Kikuchi on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .272 (125-for-459) against Yusei Kikuchi this season — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 11th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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