The Miami Marlins (+195) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-250) on Friday, August 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Marlins are 40-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 49-59 ATS.
Marlins vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 2-1, 3.86 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 4-5, 4.06 ERA
Marlins vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Marlins vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 66.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 27 games (+20.40 Units / 76% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+14.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.85 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Austin Riley has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 20 games at home (+18.10 Units / 90% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+14.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 40 games (+12.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+12.50 Units / 68% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 away games (+16.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 82 games (+12.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 52 of their last 91 games (+9.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+6.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 38 games (+5.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 94 games (+28.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.25 Units / 79% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 51-58 against the Run Line (-23.56 Units / -16.41% ROI).
- 40-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.7 Units / -15.36% ROI
- 60-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +10 Units / 8.31% ROI
- 46-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.05 Units / -15.94% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 49-59 against the Run Line (-11.7 Units / -9.13% ROI).
- 59-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.75 Units / -8.44% ROI
- 39-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.8 Units / -26.09% ROI
- 64-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.9 Units / 17.46% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Schwellenbach has a strike rate of 71% (624/884) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 99th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach’s has 19 strikeouts and no walks in his last two starts — tied for best in MLB K:BB ratio over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.2 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 16% (3/19) against Spencer Schwellenbach in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has a strike rate of 72% (134/187) in his last two starts — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 97th Percentile.