The Baltimore Orioles (-115) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-105) on Friday, August 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Orioles are 65-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 54-54 ATS.

Orioles vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 4-7, 4.15 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco 3-9, 5.73 ERA

Orioles vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 19 of his last 50 games (+38.50 Units / 77% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 48 games (+21.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 16 games (+17.90 Units / 99% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 45 games (+13.70 Units / 26% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+12.65 Units / 66% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 games at home (+56.50 Units / 297% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 30 games (+15.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• Daniel Schneemann has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+14.25 Units / 36% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 45 games (+13.40 Units / 23% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 40 games (+11.30 Units / 25% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 63 games (+14.20 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 101 games (+12.85 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 57 of their last 95 games (+12.65 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 away games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 away games (+6.00 Units / 16% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 108 games (+16.87 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 63 of their last 108 games (+13.20 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games at home (+10.25 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 94 games (+9.95 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 58-52 against the Run Line (+12.7 Units / 9.89% ROI).

• 65-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 1.96% ROI
• 60-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +17.55 Units / 14.71% ROI
• 39-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -27.4 Units / -22.73% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 54-54 against the Run Line (+3.65 Units / 2.79% ROI).

• 66-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.87 Units / 11.98% ROI
• 51-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -4.48% ROI
• 51-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -4.19% ROI

Guardians vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dean Kremer has walked 3 of 18 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 3rd highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.

Dean Kremer has thrown his changeup for a strike just 51% (181/358) of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.

Dean Kremer has allowed an OBP of .444 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .303 — 15th Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 123 of Dean Kremer’s 463 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 27%) since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 34% — fifth Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .319 (96-for-301) against Carlos Carrasco when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: .247 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .407 (74-for-182) against Carlos Carrasco’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .464 (104-for-224) against Carlos Carrasco when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total IP; League Avg: .339 — first Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .867 (85 Total Bases / 98 ABs) on inside fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: .433 — 0 Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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