UFC Fight Night Betting Preview
UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC Fight Night and picks for August 3rd with the main event headlined by Cory Sandhagen vs Umar Nurmagomedov in a bantamweight fight. The main card starts up at 3:00pm ET from the Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
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Cory Sandhagen vs Umar Nurmagomedov: UFC Fight Night Main Event
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UFC Fight Night Predictions
Sedriques Dumas -218 vs Denis Tiuliulin +180
This could be a fight where we look back and think -218 was a gift. Denis Tiuliulin is cooked as a UFC fighter, and this is probably where he gets cut.
He's lost 3 in a row, and he's been finished in all 3, and he hasn't shown any upside on offense as he can't wrestle or get takedowns, and his striking is slow and ineffective.
Dumas isn't great, but he's younger, more athletic, and I think he'll have no trouble taking Denis down and wearing him out.
Dumas has gone the distance in some fights so his cardio should be better as well. Dumas is the pick here, and is a great parlay piece.
Lucie Pudilova -125 vs Luana Carolina +105
Jai Herbert -192 vs Rolando Bedoya +160
Bedoya came in on short notice and fought great against Khaos Williams, but he regressed in his second fight losing to Kenan Song where he won the first round, but then dropped the next 2 rounds, and he got tired in round 3 which cost him the fight.
I just don't know what he does great. His striking is meh, he doesn't seem to have a great ground game, he's not fast, I just don't see any upside.
Herbert will be much faster, and even though hs's 2-4-1 in his last 7 fights his losses have been to really good fighters including Topuria and Moicano.
I like Herbert to be faster on the feet, and I expect him to put on a veteran clinic showing different looks, and different levels to frustrate Bedoya. I like this fight to go the distance, and I think Herbert by decision is a nice play.
Victoria Dudakova -180 vs Sam Hughes +150
I think the wrong fighter is favored here. Dudakova is 8-0, and she's 2-0 in the UFC, but she won her first fight because Nunes dislocated her elbow 30 second in, and then she beat Jinh Yu Frey (who is awful), but she struggled and got taken down once.
She had to pull out of her last fight because of a bad weight cut, and I think she gets her first loss here. Hughes has a non-stop motor, and she'll still be pushing forward in the 3rd round which is a problem for Dudakova who doesn't have great cardio.
Dudakova's striking isn't elite, and I won't be surprised to see Hughes get Dudakova on the ground and control big chunks of time like she did against Amorim. Dudakova is very beatable, I think Hughes gets it done at plus money.
Shamil Gaziev -250 vs Dontale Mayes +205
I can't believe Mayes has won 2 out of 3, but when you fight the corpse of Andrew Arlovski, and Caio Machado who has no cardio after 3 minutes, you get winnable fights.
However, Gaziev is better than Mayes's recent opponents and I think he dominates this one. Gaziev has had a strange start to his UFC career as he smoked Martin Buday in his debut, and then found himself in a 5-round main event against Rozenstruik in his second fight where he was outclassed and had his lack of striking defense exposed.
He's going to have the better striking and the better cardio, and I also think he's going to be better in the clinch where I expect a lot of this fight to take place. Mayes doesn't have any upside, he's slow and doesn't have the striking to scare Gaziev. Gaziev should roll in this one.
Guram Kutateladze -240 vs Jordan Vucenic +188
I can't believe Guram is coming in off a 2 fight losing streak, but he lost a close split decision, and then got gassed and finished by Brener.
After that amazing fight against Gamrot, I thought we would see him fly up the rankings, but that fight was in 2020, and he's only fought twice since then, losing both.
Jordan Vucenic steps in on short notice, and while he's 13-2 he's fought awful competition. He looks to have decent striking, and a good submission game, but if Guram is fighting at the level he's capable of, I think he schools Vucenic with his movement, and grappling.
That being said, I don't know what Guram has been doing or what shape he's in so I'll stay away from this fight.
Kaue Fernandes -340 vs Mohammad Yahya +270
Neither of these guys are great UFC fighters, but I'm really low on Yahya. He came in to the UFC to fight Trevor Peek, and I didn't have high expectations, and he was worse than I thought.
His striking isn't good, he's hittable on the feet, and Peek was able to control him against the fence and on the ground.