The Los Angeles Dodgers (+115) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-135) on Wednesday, July 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Dodgers are 63-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 57-52 ATS.

Dodgers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw 0-0, 4.50 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 10-8, 3.51 ERA

Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Cavan Biggio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+22.00 Units / 367% ROI)
• Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 33 games (+20.30 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jason Heyward has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 33 games (+12.65 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jason Heyward has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+12.30 Units / 19% ROI)
• Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 9 games (+10.45 Units / 90% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 38 games (+38.00 Units / 100% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 41 games (+13.35 Units / 28% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.75 Units / 50% ROI)
• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+12.40 Units / 41% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.25 Units / 32% ROI)

Dodgers Best Bets Today:

• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 away games (+5.45 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games (+5.25 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 away games (+3.65 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.55 Units / 48% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.10 Units / 26% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 77 games (+9.65 Units / 10% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+6.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.45 Units / 24% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 53-55 against the Run Line (-7.45 Units / -5.71% ROI).

• 63-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.15 Units / -6.85% ROI
• 55-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -1.77% ROI
• 52-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.65 Units / -7.24% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 57-52 against the Run Line (+6.55 Units / 4.75% ROI).

• 58-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -1.22% ROI
• 58-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.65 Units / 3.07% ROI
• 50-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.45 Units / -11.91% ROI

Padres vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 58% of the time (424/725) when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total SL; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has allowed an OPS of just .441 (203 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total IP; League Avg: .730 — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has allowed an OBP of just .249 (406 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 99th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has allowed an OBP of just .241 (203 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total IP; League Avg: .320 — 100th Percentile.

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Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .255 (513 PAs) this season — tied for sixth best among qualified SPs– 92nd Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .332 (783 PAs) last season — third worst among qualified SPs– sixth Percentile.

Dylan Cease has walked 82 of 781 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 38% (203/542) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .194 (133-for-686) against Dylan Cease when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 100th Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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