The Seattle Mariners (-120) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+100) on Wednesday, July 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Mariners are 57-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 49-57 ATS.

Mariners vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 8-7, 2.88 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 10-5, 5.31 ERA

Mariners vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 14 away games (+17.10 Units / 122% ROI)
• Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 away games (+10.85 Units / 68% ROI)
• Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.85 Units / 32% ROI)
• Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+10.40 Units / 41% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+9.05 Units / 60% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 32 games (+21.10 Units / 66% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+14.60 Units / 52% ROI)
• Jamie Westbrook has hit the Singles Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 59% ROI)
• Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.80 Units / 32% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+12.35 Units / 21% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 39 away games (+14.00 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+4.75 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 42 of their last 76 games (+4.75 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 away games (+4.70 Units / 34% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 63 games (+15.80 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 39 games (+10.40 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+7.60 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 55 of their last 106 games (+6.25 Units / 4% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 49-60 against the Run Line (-15.7 Units / -11.32% ROI).

• 57-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -5.25% ROI
• 46-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.3 Units / -15.42% ROI
• 59-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.45 Units / 7.08% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 49-57 against the Run Line (-15.5 Units / -11.04% ROI).

• 56-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.11% ROI
• 53-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 0.56% ROI
• 48-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -10 Units / -8.57% ROI

Red Sox vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

George Kirby has walked 5 of 198 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 21 of 691 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

George Kirby has allowed an OBP of just .248 (472 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 33 of 1,277 batters (3%) since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (88/488) against Brayan Bello since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (26/70) against Brayan Bello on sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (168/281) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (31/85) against Brayan Bello this month (5 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
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