The Los Angeles Dodgers (-135) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+115) on Tuesday, July 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Dodgers are 63-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 56-52 ATS.
Dodgers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow 8-6, 3.47 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Matt Waldron 6-9, 3.65 ERA
Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gavin Lux has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games (+21.60 Units / 180% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 32 games (+19.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 32 games (+14.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 32 games (+13.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+11.55 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 37 games (+30.50 Units / 82% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+13.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+12.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Walks Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+12.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 40 games (+11.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 47 away games (+5.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 23 away games (+4.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 76 games (+8.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+5.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.45 Units / 21% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 53-54 against the Run Line (-6.45 Units / -4.98% ROI).
- 63-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.8 Units / -6.19% ROI
- 54-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -2.68% ROI
- 52-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -6.26% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 56-52 against the Run Line (+5.55 Units / 4.07% ROI).
- 57-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -2.06% ROI
- 57-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 2.21% ROI
- 50-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.2 Units / -11% ROI
Padres vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
James Outman (LAD) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Jason Heyward (LAD) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Padres vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Gavin Lux (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Jason Heyward (LAD) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Padres vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Jason Heyward (LAD) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tyler Glasnow (LAD) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
Matt Waldron (SD) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 60% (70 SO in 116 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .127 (20-for-157) against Tyler Glasnow when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has allowed an OBP of just .188 (170 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has allowed an OPS of just .456 (171 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 — 98th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Waldron has induced opposing hitters to ground into 5 double plays in 11 opportunities (46%) this month (4 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 23% (97/416) against Matt Waldron this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Matt Waldron has allowed an OBP of just .148 (54 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (4 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 98th Percentile.
Matt Waldron has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.1 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (73 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 90.2