The Pittsburgh Pirates (-145) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (+120) on Monday, July 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Pirates are 53-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 54-51 ATS.

Pirates vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 6-1, 1.93 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Jake Bloss 0-1, 6.95 ERA

Pirates vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Rowdy Tellez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+13.40 Units / 149% ROI)
• Andrew McCutchen has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
• Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.90 Units / 52% ROI)
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.90 Units / 37% ROI)
• Connor Joe has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.40 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 50 games (+23.70 Units / 23% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 22 games at home (+23.50 Units / 107% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 48 games (+16.55 Units / 27% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+15.65 Units / 30% ROI)
• Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 48 games (+15.30 Units / 24% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 94 games (+11.80 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 66 games (+10.90 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 61 games (+9.70 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 61 games (+7.90 Units / 11% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 47 games (+16.70 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 88 games (+14.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.35 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.45 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 69 games (+8.95 Units / 11% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 57-48 against the Run Line (+5.81 Units / 4.24% ROI).

• 53-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.16% ROI
• 47-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.4 Units / -10.63% ROI
• 54-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.18 Units / 2.78% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 54-51 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 3.04% ROI).

• 55-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -5.88% ROI
• 42-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.4 Units / -20.35% ROI
• 60-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.8 Units / 11.87% ROI

Astros vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 34% (97 SO in 284 PAs) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .108 (8-for-74) against Paul Skenes this month (3 games) — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 97th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has pitched 7 or more innings in each of his last three games — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 61% (27 SO in 44 PAs) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — 2nd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jake Bloss has limited playing time.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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