The Seattle Mariners (+105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-125) on Monday, July 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Mariners are 56-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 48-56 ATS.

Mariners vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 6-6, 2.73 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 4-7, 4.50 ERA

Mariners vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 12 away games (+14.80 Units / 123% ROI)
• Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 34 of his last 48 games (+14.20 Units / 21% ROI)
• Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 50 games (+13.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• Logan Gilbert has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.65 Units / 53% ROI)
• Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.95 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 30 games (+23.10 Units / 77% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 43 games (+13.45 Units / 25% ROI)
• Jamie Westbrook has hit the Singles Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 59% ROI)
• Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.80 Units / 32% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+12.35 Units / 22% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 away games (+12.00 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 away games (+5.35 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.15 Units / 64% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 74 games (+4.85 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+4.75 Units / 35% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+13.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+8.25 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+7.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+7.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 54 of their last 104 games (+6.25 Units / 5% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 48-59 against the Run Line (-15.05 Units / -11.09% ROI).

• 56-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -5.34% ROI
• 44-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.3 Units / -17.43% ROI
• 59-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.65 Units / 9.09% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 48-56 against the Run Line (-15.7 Units / -11.39% ROI).

• 55-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.12% ROI
• 51-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -1.18% ROI
• 48-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.8 Units / -6.81% ROI

Red Sox vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .111 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .282 — 98th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .199 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .665 — 98th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .178 (191 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .314 — 100th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .201 (189 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 98th Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nick Pivetta has allowed a .826 SLG vs right-handed batters (second worst)– second Percentile and just .125 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (ninth best among qualified SPs)– 89th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has struck out 42% (15/36) of left-handed batters he faced this month (4 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (38/114) against Nick Pivetta with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 21% (7/33) against Nick Pivetta this month (4 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
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