The Chicago Cubs (-110) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-110) on Monday, July 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Cubs are 51-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 58-47 ATS.

Cubs vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 7-5, 2.98 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Carson Spiers 3-2, 3.83 ERA

Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 37 games (+22.40 Units / 61% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 24 away games (+16.30 Units / 43% ROI)
• Michael Busch has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+13.35 Units / 25% ROI)
• Seiya Suzuki has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+10.30 Units / 69% ROI)
• Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+10.25 Units / 57% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 19 games (+13.70 Units / 72% ROI)
• Austin Slater has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 26 games (+10.50 Units / 32% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+9.35 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.20 Units / 88% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.20 Units / 27% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 55 of their last 95 games (+14.50 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+6.75 Units / 68% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 away games (+5.05 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.45 Units / 34% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 89 games (+13.50 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+12.85 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+10.45 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 87 games (+9.30 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 55 games (+4.70 Units / 7% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 52-55 against the Run Line (-15.1 Units / -10.13% ROI).

• 51-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -4.2% ROI
• 45-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.9 Units / -16.87% ROI
• 59-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.8 Units / 8.33% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 58-47 against the Run Line (+5.45 Units / 3.91% ROI).

• 50-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -5.2% ROI
• 46-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.4 Units / -13.26% ROI
• 55-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 3.61% ROI

Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jameson Taillon has walked 34 of 710 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 86th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 7% of batters they faced (15/202 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 13 of 531 right-handed batters (2%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .429 (285 Total Bases / 664 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — eighth Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Carson Spiers has allowed three-ball counts to 12% of batters they faced (23/200 PA’s) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 98th Percentile.

79% of Carson Spiers’ non-fastball strikeouts are located away this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 52% — 98th Percentile.

Carson Spiers has walked 9 of 200 batters (4%) this season — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.

44% of Carson Spiers’ called strikeouts are elevated this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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