The Chicago Cubs (+145) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-175) on Sunday, July 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Cubs are 50-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 60-45 ATS.

Cubs vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 4-3, 3.16 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 7-6, 3.24 ERA

Cubs vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 36 games (+23.40 Units / 65% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 23 away games (+17.80 Units / 49% ROI)
• Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+13.65 Units / 14% ROI)
• Michael Busch has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+13.35 Units / 25% ROI)
• Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 away games (+12.50 Units / 80% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+14.70 Units / 74% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+12.90 Units / 43% ROI)
• Nick Loftin has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 30% ROI)
• Nick Loftin has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.95 Units / 50% ROI)
• Nick Loftin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.95 Units / 45% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 55 of their last 94 games (+15.60 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+5.20 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.55 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 away games (+4.05 Units / 18% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+14.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 55 games at home (+12.29 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 55 games at home (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.85 Units / 26% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 51-55 against the Run Line (-16.1 Units / -10.89% ROI).

• 50-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.95 Units / -5.45% ROI
• 44-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.9 Units / -17.89% ROI
• 59-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.9 Units / 9.36% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 60-45 against the Run Line (+6.84 Units / 4.79% ROI).

• 57-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 5.6% ROI
• 43-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.55 Units / -18.02% ROI
• 58-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.45 Units / 9.09% ROI

Royals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 40% (282/713) against Javier Assad this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .137 (24-for-175) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 100th Percentile.

Javier Assad has walked 22 of 179 right-handed batters (12%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .451 (208 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: .739 — 100th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (328/1,004) against Cole Ragans this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .500 (10 GB hits out of 20 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (293/849) against Cole Ragans this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .351 (194 Total Bases / 553 ABs) on pitches in the strike zone since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: .489 — 100th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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