The Miami Marlins (+165) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-200) on Sunday, July 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Marlins are 39-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 54-50 ATS.

Marlins vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Kyle Tyler 0-1, 3.99 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 6-4, 3.16 ERA

Marlins vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 65.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Josh Bell has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+31.50 Units / 525% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+13.45 Units / 58% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+11.90 Units / 30% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+11.00 Units / 25% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.15 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 37 games (+14.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 19 games at home (+13.40 Units / 71% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+13.00 Units / 44% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 43% ROI)
• Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+9.65 Units / 40% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 46 away games (+14.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 78 games (+11.35 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 50 of their last 87 games (+9.80 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.25 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+7.10 Units / 71% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games at home (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 104 games (+10.05 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 36 games at home (+9.75 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 104 games (+7.70 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games at home (+6.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 50-55 against the Run Line (-21.01 Units / -15.12% ROI).

• 39-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.9 Units / -15.2% ROI
• 58-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.1 Units / 7.86% ROI
• 45-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.95 Units / -15.58% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 54-50 against the Run Line (+1.3 Units / 0.95% ROI).

• 59-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.7 Units / 5.81% ROI
• 56-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.35 Units / 8.23% ROI
• 43-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.85 Units / -16.36% ROI

Brewers vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Tyler has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 11.2 innings pitched — Ryan Helsley has the longest active streak at 22.0.

Kyle Tyler has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to June 28th — the longest active streak is 13.

Opponents have a miss rate of 31% (25/81) against Kyle Tyler this month (2 games) — tied for 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 92nd Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tobias Myers has allowed an OBP of .405 (42 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (3 games) — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .297 — ninth Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 47% (37/78) against Tobias Myers on the first pitch of at-bats this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .359 (14-for-39) against Tobias Myers this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — third Percentile.

95% of Tobias Myers’ called strikeouts are outside this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 99th Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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