Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 27
Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 27

The New York Yankees (+100) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-120) on Saturday, July 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Yankees are 60-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 48-54 ATS.

Yankees vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 7-5, 3.53 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 6-8, 3.38 ERA

Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Austin Wells has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 away games (+22.80 Units / 207% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 43 games (+17.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 36 games (+16.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+14.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 40 games (+12.75 Units / 20% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 28 games (+25.10 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jarren Duran has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 41 games (+13.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+12.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Romy Gonzalez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.50 Units / 42% ROI)

  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 48 games (+16.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 71 games (+12.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 48 of their last 82 games (+10.34 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 71 games (+8.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.50 Units / 20% ROI)

  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 59 games (+11.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+8.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+7.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+7.05 Units / 19% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 54-51 against the Run Line (+9.1 Units / 7.4% ROI).

  • 60-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -2.62% ROI
  • 55-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 3.45% ROI
  • 46-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.35 Units / -12.45% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 48-54 against the Run Line (-13.7 Units / -10.08% ROI).

  • 55-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 1.69% ROI
  • 49-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -2.99% ROI
  • 48-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -4.98% ROI

Red Sox vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +210 0.5 -250
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Ben Rice (NYY) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Red Sox vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
David Hamilton (BOS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Austin Wells (NYY) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Alex Verdugo (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Red Sox vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 -110 0.5 -120
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 -105 0.5 -125
Masataka Yoshida (BOS) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
David Hamilton (BOS) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185

Red Sox vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kutter Crawford (BOS) 4.5 -135 4.5 +105
Marcus Stroman (NYY) 4.5 +130 4.5 -165

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (57/329) against Marcus Stroman this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

  
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