The Cleveland Guardians (+135) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-160) on Saturday, July 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Guardians are 62-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 53-50 ATS.
Guardians vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco 3-8, 5.37 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Tyler Phillips 2-0, 2.81 ERA
Guardians vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Guardians vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 41 games (+49.50 Units / 121% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 21 away games (+14.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+11.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.05 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 19 games (+20.30 Units / 107% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 47 games (+16.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 49 games (+15.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+14.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Runs Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.00 Units / 20% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 103 games (+13.77 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 59 of their last 103 games (+10.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 48 away games (+8.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 89 games (+6.60 Units / 6% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 55 of their last 88 games (+19.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 43 games at home (+17.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 44 games at home (+11.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 51 of their last 85 games (+11.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+9.90 Units / 19% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 50-53 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 62-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.77 Units / 10.22% ROI
- 49-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -3.47% ROI
- 48-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -5.1% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 53-50 against the Run Line (+2.5 Units / 2.04% ROI).
- 64-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 2.68% ROI
- 46-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.75 Units / -10.32% ROI
- 52-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 1.11% ROI
Phillies vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Phillies vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Phillies vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Phillies vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tyler Phillips (PHI) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -115 |
Carlos Carrasco (CLE) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .876 (85 Total Bases / 97 ABs) on inside fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: .432 — 0 Percentile.