The Atlanta Braves (-120) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+100) on Thursday, July 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Braves are 54-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 49-52 ATS.
Braves vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 13-3, 2.71 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Luis Severino 7-3, 3.56 ERA
Braves vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+17.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 27 of his last 32 games (+17.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+14.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 31 games (+14.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.55 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 games (+31.00 Units / 172% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+16.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 30 games (+12.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+12.10 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+9.90 Units / 89% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 86 games (+29.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 away games (+13.74 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 away games (+9.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.20 Units / 15% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 58 of their last 92 games (+17.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 42 games (+14.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+10.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 60 games (+10.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 53 games (+8.15 Units / 11% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 44-56 against the Run Line (-12.85 Units / -11.07% ROI).
- 54-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.55 Units / -10.02% ROI
- 35-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.4 Units / -27.81% ROI
- 60-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.35 Units / 19.26% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 49-52 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -4.49% ROI).
- 53-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 1.28% ROI
- 53-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.5 Units / 5% ROI
- 43-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.55 Units / -13.49% ROI
Mets vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Mets vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Nacho Alvarez (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Mets vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Mets vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Chris Sale (ATL) | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -130 |
Luis Severino (NYM) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
20 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .208 (51 Total Bases / 245 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .353 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .151 (37-for-245) against Chris Sale’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 35% (56 SO in 162 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (27/166) against Luis Severino this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (59/342) against Luis Severino this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .191 (30-for-157) against Luis Severino when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 90th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (180/892) against Luis Severino this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.