The Detroit Tigers (+150) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-185) on Thursday, July 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Tigers are 50-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 49-52 ATS.

Tigers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 0-2, 4.50 ERA

Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 58.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Colt Keith has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 45 games (+25.90 Units / 58% ROI)
• Gio Urshela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+15.60 Units / 54% ROI)
• Gio Urshela has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 27 games (+12.55 Units / 46% ROI)
• Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+12.15 Units / 18% ROI)
• Gio Urshela has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+11.80 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 games at home (+58.50 Units / 344% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.95 Units / 29% ROI)
• Daniel Schneemann has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 33% ROI)
• Will Brennan has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games (+9.95 Units / 166% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.45 Units / 43% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 16 games (+15.20 Units / 65% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+13.40 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.15 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.35 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.00 Units / 29% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 42 games at home (+14.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+10.60 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 58 of their last 101 games (+10.10 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 42 games at home (+7.60 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 46 games at home (+7.35 Units / 14% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 53-50 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -1.39% ROI).

• 50-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -4.9% ROI
• 55-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.5 Units / 8.63% ROI
• 41-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.7 Units / -17.9% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 49-52 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

• 61-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.67 Units / 10.34% ROI
• 49-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.57% ROI
• 46-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -7.01% ROI

Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .353 (18-for-51) against Reese Olson’s elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .209 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .174 (12-for-69) against Reese Olson on low fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .261 — 96th Percentile.

Reese Olson has thrown low pitches 65% of the time (610/939) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% (156/299) against Reese Olson this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 92nd Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Gavin Williams has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to September 17th, 2023 — the longest active streak is 13.

Gavin Williams has a strikeout rate of just 33% (14 SO in 43 PAs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 4th lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.

Gavin Williams has not allowed a home run in any of the last 30.0 innings he’s appeared — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 68.1.

Gavin Williams has a strikeout rate of just 14% (5 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for 3rd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 22% — 13th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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