The Baltimore Orioles (-250) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+200) on Thursday, July 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.

This season, the Orioles are 60-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 47-55 ATS.

Orioles vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 10-4, 2.38 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Roddery Munoz 1-5, 5.12 ERA

Orioles vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 80.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 16 of his last 45 games (+31.95 Units / 71% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 48 games (+23.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 28 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+13.65 Units / 36% ROI)
• Corbin Burnes has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.70 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 22 games at home (+26.30 Units / 120% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+15.35 Units / 17% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.55 Units / 73% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.90 Units / 31% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 92 games (+15.50 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 86 games (+10.85 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 away games (+8.15 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 away games (+7.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 60 games (+6.35 Units / 9% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 55 games at home (+19.50 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 49 of their last 84 games (+11.40 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 97 games (+9.00 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.25 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 38 games at home (+5.50 Units / 14% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 54-47 against the Run Line (+15.35 Units / 13.13% ROI).

• 60-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 2.58% ROI
• 52-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.65 Units / 9.72% ROI
• 38-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.4 Units / -17.56% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 47-55 against the Run Line (-24.16 Units / -17.85% ROI).

• 37-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.35 Units / -17.88% ROI
• 55-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.1 Units / 5.42% ROI
• 45-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.6 Units / -13.05% ROI

Marlins vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 65% of the time (418/642) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 71% of the time (103/144) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 67% of the time (427/642) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 71% of the time (103/144) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitless in 15 AB’s against Roddery Munoz with two-strikes in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .164 — 100th Percentile.

Roddery Munoz has walked 29 of 246 batters (12%) this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .137 (7 GB hits out of 51 GBs) against Roddery Munoz this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitless in 15 AB’s against Roddery Munoz with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .164 — 100th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

  
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