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We're looking for back-to-back profitable days with our MLB player props following a big Tuesday, and I've searched through the odds at our best MLB betting sites to ensure we're getting the top prices available.
Following an extended hiatus, Tampa Bay Rays opener Shawn Armstrong welcomed me back to the world of MLB predictions and player props in a big way while cashing his Over on 1.5 strikeouts at +195, and his alt line of three-plus at +594. It was a glorious day overall, as we went 3-1 for +5.07 units.
We're looking to keep the good times rolling on Wednesday, which features NL Cy Young odds favorite Chris Sale in a doubleheader between the Atlanta Braves and Cincinnati Reds.
Sale isn't the only noteworthy pitcher going on Wednesday though.
Tyler Glasnow returns from the injured list for the World Series odds-fav orite Los Angeles Dodgers, and Jack Flaherty makes another start for the Detroit Tigers. The latter's days in the Motor City could be numbered, as he's one of the hottest trade candidates in the league with the deadline looming.
Today's MLB predictions
MLB picks based on odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
- Hunter Brown Under 6.5 strikeouts (-119 via Caesars) ????
MLB player props for Wednesday
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | -130 | -142 | -139 | -119 ?? | -125 |
Best odds: -119 via Caesars | Implied probability: 54.34%
Houston Astros right-hander Hunter Brown has been stellar since a rocky start to the campaign, and he owns a 2.70 ERA over the last month. However, he's struck out only 28 batters in those 30 innings, and Brown is projected for just 5.64 on Wednesday.
Based on that projection, we're getting roughly 21% positive expected value on this bet. We've also seen these odds move in our favor at our best sports betting sites this morning.
Pinnacle, which features one of the most respected trading teams in the sports betting industry, opened with Brown's Under priced at -114, and it's moved to -144. Similarly, DraftKings opened at -115 and is at -130, while BetMGM opened at -111 and is now pricing the Under priced at -139 now.
A winning $10 wager at Caesa rs will earn you $8.40 in profit, while FanDuel's -142 odds would change that to $7.04. This serves as another reminder to shop for the best odds.
Game info: Astros vs. Athletics | Moneyline: Astros (-160 via bet365) | Total: 8.5 via bet365 | Start time: 3:37 p.m. ET
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