The New York Mets (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-160) on Wednesday, July 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Mets are 52-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 54-49 ATS.
Mets vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 6-4, 3.77 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 3-1, 4.66 ERA
Mets vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mets vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+32.50 Units / 464% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+15.20 Units / 53% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+13.10 Units / 85% ROI)
- Tyrone Taylor has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.55 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+16.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 41 games (+15.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+14.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+13.30 Units / 121% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 27 games (+13.30 Units / 49% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 57 of their last 91 games (+16.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 41 games (+13.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 away games (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 42 games (+6.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 52 games (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games (+14.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games (+14.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 69 games (+10.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games (+10.44 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.50 Units / 21% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 48-52 against the Run Line (-6.8 Units / -5.32% ROI).
- 52-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.08% ROI
- 52-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
- 43-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.45 Units / -12.6% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 54-49 against the Run Line (+11.1 Units / 9.17% ROI).
- 60-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -0.73% ROI
- 53-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 1.76% ROI
- 46-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.15 Units / -10.75% ROI
Yankees vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Yankees vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Jose Iglesias (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
DJ LeMahieu (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Yankees vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Yankees vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jose Quintana (NYM) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -140 |
Luis Gil (NYY) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has walked 20 of 171 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Sean Manaea has walked 13 of 91 batters (14%) with runners in scoring position this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — seventh Percentile.
Sean Manaea has walked 34 of 337 right-handed batters (10%) this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — seventh Percentile.
8 of Sean Manaea’s 37 breaking pitch strikeouts (22%) have been backdoor this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 86th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .548 (637 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has a strikeout rate of 30% (191 SO in 637 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .285 (93 Total Bases / 326 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: .412 — 99th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .247 (344 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: .323 — 100th Percentile.