The Detroit Tigers (+120) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-140) on Wednesday, July 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Tigers are 50-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 49-51 ATS.

Tigers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 7-5, 3.16 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 8-4, 3.61 ERA

Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Colt Keith has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 44 games (+26.90 Units / 61% ROI)
• Gio Urshela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+14.60 Units / 52% ROI)
• Gio Urshela has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 26 games (+11.50 Units / 44% ROI)
• Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+11.15 Units / 17% ROI)
• Jack Flaherty has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.95 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 16 games at home (+59.50 Units / 372% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+11.95 Units / 29% ROI)
• Daniel Schneemann has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+11.25 Units / 32% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 23 games at home (+10.80 Units / 33% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+10.15 Units / 39% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 85 games (+14.40 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 15 games (+14.20 Units / 66% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.35 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.00 Units / 35% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 41 games at home (+13.70 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 58 of their last 100 games (+11.40 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games at home (+8.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+8.35 Units / 17% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 52-50 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -2.13% ROI).

• 50-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -4.09% ROI
• 55-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.5 Units / 9.62% ROI
• 40-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.7 Units / -19.02% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 49-51 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 0.83% ROI).

• 60-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.67 Units / 9.68% ROI
• 49-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -0.68% ROI
• 45-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.75 Units / -8% ROI

Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of just .056 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .300 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (249/745) against Jack Flaherty this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has walked 17 of 392 batters (4%) this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has walked 3 of 153 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tanner Bibee has walked 4 of 20 right-handed batters (20%) over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Tanner Bibee has a strikeout rate of 34% (61 SO in 180 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .128 (32-for-250) against Tanner Bibee with two-strikes this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — 89th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Tanner Bibee since the 2022 season is 383.5 feet — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 398.3

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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