The Arizona Diamondbacks (+135) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-160) on Monday, July 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 51-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 58-42 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Yilber Diaz 1-0, 1.54 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 6-6, 3.17 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
• Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
• Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+12.00 Units / 120% ROI)
• Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 55% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games (+13.40 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.45 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 16 away games (+10.20 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 50 away games (+9.70 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.60 Units / 23% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+16.55 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games (+13.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.59 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games at home (+6.85 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 51-49 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -2.96% ROI).

• 51-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -1.53% ROI
• 52-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 1.84% ROI
• 45-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.55 Units / -10.6% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 58-42 against the Run Line (+7.14 Units / 5.18% ROI).

• 55-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 7.33% ROI
• 40-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.3 Units / -19.62% ROI
• 56-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.8 Units / 10.79% ROI

Royals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Yilber Diaz has allowed an OBP of just .111 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .316 — 97th Percentile.

Yilber Diaz has a strikeout rate of just 11% (2 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd lowest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 12th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .059 (1-for-17) against Yilber Diaz when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — tied for 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .239 — 96th Percentile.

57% of Yilber Diaz’s strikeouts are looking in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 35% (283/806) against Cole Ragans this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (316/956) against Cole Ragans this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 46% (65 SO in 141 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 93rd Percentile.

Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .305 (51 Total Bases / 167 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 86th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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