Brewers vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 22
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 22

The Milwaukee Brewers (-120) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+100) on Monday, July 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Brewers are 57-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 49-52 ATS.

Brewers vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 6-3, 3.16 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 4-3, 3.29 ERA

Brewers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Brewers vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 away games (+19.00 Units / 136% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+13.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games at home (+12.60 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Michael Busch has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+12.40 Units / 95% ROI)

  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 95 games (+12.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 99 games (+11.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 99 games (+10.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 71 games (+7.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 56 of their last 99 games (+6.19 Units / 5% ROI)

  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+12.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 89 games (+12.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+9.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.10 Units / 16% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 52-47 against the Run Line (+2.4 Units / 1.84% ROI).

  • 57-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.7 Units / 8.55% ROI
  • 54-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.75 Units / 9.95% ROI
  • 40-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.6 Units / -17.85% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 49-52 against the Run Line (-14.55 Units / -10.33% ROI).

  • 48-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 43-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.4 Units / -15.64% ROI
  • 55-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +8 Units / 7.2% ROI

Cubs vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Christopher Morel (CHC) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Cubs vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Sal Frelick (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Joey Ortiz (MIL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Jackson Chourio (MIL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155

Cubs vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +110 0.5 -150
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

Cubs vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tobias Myers (MIL) 4.5 -160 4.5 +125
Javier Assad (CHC) 3.5 -120 3.5 -110

Tobias Myers has recorded 8 of his 23 strikeouts (35%) vs left-handed batters with his changeup this season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 89th Percentile.

Tobias Myers has an ERA of 2.56 (38.2 IP) on the road this season — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 4.11 — 90th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .208 (26-for-125) against Tobias Myers’ fastball this season — tied for 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 88th Percentile.

66% of Tobias Myers’ fastball strikeouts are located away this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 98th Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .470 (234 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: .729 — 100th Percentile.

Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .451 (203 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: .740 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 40% (264/667) against Javier Assad this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.

Javier Assad has allowed an OBP of just .230 (200 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: .324 — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

  
Read Full Article