The Cincinnati Reds (+125) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-150) on Monday, July 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Reds are 47-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 44-54 ATS.

Reds vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 6-4, 3.35 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 7-3, 1.89 ERA

Reds vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+18.60 Units / 35% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+17.00 Units / 243% ROI)
• Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
• Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.25 Units / 74% ROI)
• Jake Fraley has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jarred Kelenic has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 37 games (+18.20 Units / 49% ROI)
• Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 25% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• Adam Duvall has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+15.25 Units / 49% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 84 games (+10.60 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.80 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 82 games (+9.20 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 85 games (+8.35 Units / 8% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 84 games (+29.30 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+9.74 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+1.80 Units / 6% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 55-45 against the Run Line (+5.35 Units / 4.09% ROI).

• 47-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -6.41% ROI
• 45-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.05 Units / -10.89% ROI
• 51-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 1.14% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 44-54 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -9.51% ROI).

• 54-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.85 Units / -8.53% ROI
• 34-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.2 Units / -28.22% ROI
• 59-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.45 Units / 19.72% ROI

Braves vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hunter Greene has walked 22 of 171 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .119 (5-for-42) against Hunter Greene on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .262 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (66/167) against Hunter Greene on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

59% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Reynaldo Lopez has allowed an OBP of just .256 (473 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .300 — 96th Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has an ERA of 1.61 (64.1 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 3.50 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .097 (7-for-72) against Reynaldo Lopez with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 100th Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 23 of 475 right-handed batters (5%) since the 2022 season — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 93rd Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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