Rays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 22
Rays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 22

The Tampa Bay Rays (+145) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-175) on Monday, July 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Rays are 50-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 53-48 ATS.

Rays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 3-6, 4.28 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 9-7, 4.45 ERA

Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
  • Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 23 games (+12.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jonny Deluca has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.05 Units / 61% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 22 of his last 45 games (+23.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)

  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 61 of their last 96 games (+23.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 90 games (+10.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+6.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games (+6.60 Units / 22% ROI)

  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games (+14.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games (+14.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 67 games (+10.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 78 games (+10.49 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.55 Units / 22% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 48-51 against the Run Line (-6.8 Units / -5.16% ROI).

  • 50-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -6.38% ROI
  • 47-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -6.06% ROI
  • 49-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -2.11% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 53-48 against the Run Line (+10.95 Units / 9.2% ROI).

  • 59-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -0.41% ROI
  • 52-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.1 Units / 1.88% ROI
  • 45-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.95 Units / -10.79% ROI

Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +175 0.5 -210
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +270 0.5 -350
Ben Rice (NYY) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Austin Wells (NYY) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550

Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Volpe (NYY) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Gleyber Torres (NYY) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Austin Wells (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Curtis Mead (TB) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Alex Verdugo (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160

Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 -125 0.5 -105
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Austin Wells (NYY) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Ben Rice (NYY) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Rodon (NYY) 6.5 -150 6.5 +115
Zack Littell (TB) 4.5 +125 4.5 -165

11 of Zack Littell’s 30 breaking pitch strikeouts (37%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (35/122) against Zack Littell in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .290 (120-for-414) against Zack Littell this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — second Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (52/174) against Zack Littell this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .611 (11-for-18) against Carlos Rodon in late innings this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — second Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has an ERA of 9.69 (26.0 IP) against division opponents this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.75 — first Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .545 (91 Total Bases / 167 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — third Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .599 (164 Total Bases / 274 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: .399 — 0 Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
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