The Houston Astros (+100) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-120) on Sunday, July 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Astros are 52-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 44-56 ATS.
Astros vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 9-4, 2.57 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 3-1, 2.48 ERA
Astros vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Astros vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+14.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games at home (+15.60 Units / 120% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+15.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 40 games (+20.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 81 games (+16.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 59 games (+11.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+9.70 Units / 32% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+16.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+8.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+8.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 40 games at home (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 52-46 against the Run Line (+7.35 Units / 6.04% ROI).
- 52-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -4.62% ROI
- 38-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.05 Units / -22.4% ROI
- 57-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.35 Units / 14.16% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 44-56 against the Run Line (-17.3 Units / -13.45% ROI).
- 52-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.7 Units / -5.15% ROI
- 40-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.95 Units / -19.3% ROI
- 56-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.9 Units / 10.86% ROI
Mariners vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Mariners vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Mariners vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bryan Woo (SEA) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
Ronel Blanco (HOU) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -135 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .136 (19-for-140) against Ronel Blanco when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .214 (36-for-168) against Ronel Blanco in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .319 — 100th Percentile.
Ronel Blanco has allowed a BABIP of .179 this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .283 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .169 (64-for-379) against Ronel Blanco this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 74% of the time (1,547/2,077) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has a strike rate of 73% (457/629) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed an OBP of just .241 (170 PA’s) this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 98th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 79% of the time (495/629) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.