The Detroit Tigers (+130) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-155) on Sunday, July 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Tigers are 49-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 45-53 ATS.

Tigers vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 1-2, 5.54 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 7-8, 4.50 ERA

Tigers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+22.00 Units / 85% ROI)
• Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
• Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
• Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
• Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.95 Units / 56% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 82 games (+11.40 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.85 Units / 63% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+9.35 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 away games (+8.45 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.00 Units / 36% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+14.40 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 97 games (+9.35 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.45 Units / 4% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 49-50 against the Run Line (-6.3 Units / -4.69% ROI).

• 49-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -3.34% ROI
• 52-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.5 Units / 7.09% ROI
• 40-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.4 Units / -16.49% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 45-53 against the Run Line (-19.1 Units / -14.2% ROI).

• 44-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -17 Units / -13.74% ROI
• 50-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 0.37% ROI
• 45-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.2 Units / -9.45% ROI

Blue Jays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Keider Montero has walked 4 of 27 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 10th Percentile.

Keider Montero has allowed a slugging percentage of just .200 (5 Total Bases / 25 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .417 — 91st Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (24/111) against Keider Montero this month (3 games) — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — third Percentile.

Keider Montero has allowed an OPS of just .459 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .737 — 88th Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kevin Gausman has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 52% (356/688) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has an ERA of 7.19 (46.1 IP) at home this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.45 — first Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (966/1,270) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .211 (48-for-227) against Kevin Gausman with two-strikes this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — eighth Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

  
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