The Atlanta Braves (-185) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+150) on Sunday, July 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Braves are 52-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 49-49 ATS.

Braves vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 12-3, 2.75 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 2-4, 4.69 ERA

Braves vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 62.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jarred Kelenic has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 away games (+20.30 Units / 127% ROI)
• Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 25% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+15.35 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 14 games (+37.30 Units / 266% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+13.55 Units / 75% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.50 Units / 20% ROI)
• Kyle Higashioka has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+11.20 Units / 140% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.80 Units / 55% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 80 games (+29.40 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 44 away games (+12.74 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 37 away games (+10.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.75 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.85 Units / 13% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.45 Units / 26% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 66 games (+5.15 Units / 6% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+4.85 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.25 Units / 16% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 43-51 against the Run Line (-8.35 Units / -7.63% ROI).

• 52-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.45 Units / -8.57% ROI
• 32-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.9 Units / -29.19% ROI
• 57-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.55 Units / 20.63% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 49-49 against the Run Line (+2.05 Units / 1.69% ROI).

• 50-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -5.93% ROI
• 52-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.95 Units / 2.76% ROI
• 45-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.65 Units / -11.62% ROI

Padres vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

20 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .216 (50 Total Bases / 232 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .348 — 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .227 (32 Total Bases / 141 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .370 — 98th Percentile.

Chris Sale has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.1 MPH on the 169 breaking pitches put in play against him since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 87.7.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .396 against Randy Vasquez this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .254 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .332 (79-for-238) against Randy Vasquez this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 0 Percentile.

Randy Vasquez has allowed an OBP of .373 (255 PA’s) this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .306 — third Percentile.

Randy Vasquez has a strikeout rate of just 20% (14 SO in 71 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 33% — fifth Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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