The Chicago Cubs (+105) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-125) on Sunday, July 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Cubs are 46-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 47-48 ATS.
Cubs vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 6-4, 2.99 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 7-7, 4.90 ERA
Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+12.40 Units / 95% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 39 games (+11.95 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 85 games (+10.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 41% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 30 games at home (+6.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+4.25 Units / 11% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 48-49 against the Run Line (-12.1 Units / -8.93% ROI).
- 46-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -4.43% ROI
- 42-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.85 Units / -13.94% ROI
- 52-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.95 Units / 5.56% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 47-48 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -2.52% ROI).
- 50-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -3.89% ROI
- 44-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.85 Units / -6.62% ROI
- 46-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -2.32% ROI
Cardinals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Cardinals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 7% of batters they faced (13/179 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 32 of 692 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 91st Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 10% of batters they faced (53/508 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 99th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to June 16th — Griffin Canning has the longest active streak at 6.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .308 (66-for-214) against Miles Mikolas’ non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .562 (91 Total Bases / 162 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .370 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .542 (116 Total Bases / 214 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .348 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (25/174) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.