The Pittsburgh Pirates (-200) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+165) on Sunday, July 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Pirates are 47-48 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 44-53 ATS.

Pirates vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 10-5, 3.43 ERA
• White Sox starting pitcher: Jared Shuster 1-2, 3.52 ERA

Pirates vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 63.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.45 Units / 43% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.65 Units / 35% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+11.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+17.00 Units / 170% ROI)
• Lenyn Sosa has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
• Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
• Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
• Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 84 games (+14.75 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 51 games (+12.60 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+10.75 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 56 games (+8.95 Units / 12% ROI)

White Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+9.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+2.50 Units / 21% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 51-44 against the Run Line (+3.86 Units / 3.11% ROI).

• 47-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -2.04% ROI
• 43-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.45 Units / -8.97% ROI
• 48-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.68 Units / 1.62% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 44-53 against the Run Line (-14.3 Units / -12.23% ROI).

• 27-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -34.3 Units / -34.25% ROI
• 43-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -10.36% ROI
• 49-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 2.04% ROI

White Sox vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

White Sox vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

White Sox vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

White Sox vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .337 (727 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — eighth Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (50/154) against Mitch Keller this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — eighth Percentile.

Mitch Keller has walked 11 of 234 left-handed batters (5%) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 92nd Percentile.

Mitch Keller has not walked any of the 18 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jared Shuster has a strike rate of just 56% (251/446) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

Jared Shuster has a strike rate of just 56% (251/446) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Jared Shuster has a strikeout rate of just 32% (25 SO in 78 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 8th lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.

Jared Shuster has struck out just 13% (8/61) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 7th lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 24% — seventh Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

  
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