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Spain and England haven't played each other at a European Championship in 28 years, and they're now making final preparations for the continent's most coveted prize in the Euro 2024 final.
The Spaniards reached top gear in their first match against Croatia and haven't decelerated, winning six contests by a combined score of 13-3. La Roja enter the final as the Euro 2024 odds favorites across our best sports betting sites after reeling off 14 consecutive wins in competitive matches.
Meanwhile, England have required all of the craft, experience, and resilience they've developed through previous deep major tournament runs to bulldoze their way into the final. Now to complement our Spain vs. England predictions, let's dive into our Spain vs. England parlay and SGP picks.
I'm offering a Euro 2024 final parlay with a 20.75% chance of hitti ng, according to our odds converter.
Spain vs. England parlay: Euro 2024 final
Spain vs. England odds via our best soccer betting sites; Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
- Under 3.5 total offsides (-175 via bet365) ???
- Lamine Yamal Over 2.5 shot attempts (-175 via bet365) ????
- Halftime result: draw (-105 via bet365) ????
Combined odds: +382 | Implied probability: 20.75%
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Four of England's six matches thus far have featured three or fewer offsides, and the Under hit during five of Spain's tilts. Spain's only exception came against Germany in the 120-minute quarterfinal.
That's nine of 12 matches between the finalists with three or fewer offsides, or 75%, which is over 11% higher than the implied probability for the prop. Additionally, England ordinarily don't play a ton of incisive and penetrative balls beyond the opponent's rearguard, decreasing the likelihood of them being caught offside.
Harry Kane isn't renowned for darting runs beyond the defense, and he often picks the ball up in the pocket between midfield and defense. He'll be on the shoulder of Spain's center backs for crosses, but Kane has perfected the timing of those.
Odds: -175 via bet365 | Implied probability: 63.64%
Lamine Yamal, arguably the quickest player on the pitch, combines his breakneck pace, shiftiness, and fearlessness to create enough space to fire toward the goal. He's registered 12 shots in three knockout games, including seven against a substandard Georgian team during the Round of 16.
Yamal registered three shot attempts against France during the semifinal, and we all know what he did with one of those. His 25-meter curling and blistering effort will go down as one of the best goals in European Championship history, probably the greatest if Spain ascend the final peak.
The -175 odds of this leg would pay a profit of $5.71 on a winning $10 standalone wager.
Odds: -175 via bet365 | Implied probability: 63.64%
Four of the last seven Euro finals have entered the halftime interval all square. While the -105 odds imply a 51.22% probability, recent history suggests a higher likelihood. Four of England's six matches, including two of three in the knockout phase, were tied after 45 minutes.
The same can be said for three of Spain's six matches, including two of three in do-or-die contests. The final will be all about fine margins. With both teams energized and highly focused, parity should supersede all else in the opening half.
The parlay comes in with combined odds of +382. A $10 wager will pay a profit of $38.20 if all three legs hit.
Odds: -105 via bet365 | Implied probability: 51.22%
Spain vs. England game info
- When: Sunday, July 14
- Time: 3 p.m. ET
- Where: Olympiastadion (Berlin)
- How to watch: Fox Sports (US), TSN (Canada)
- Favorite: Spain (+150 via DraftKings)
Spain-England predictions made Saturday at 9 a.m. ET.
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