The Atlanta Braves (+110) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-130) on Saturday, July 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Braves are 52-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 48-49 ATS.

Braves vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 7-2, 1.71 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 7-8, 4.21 ERA

Braves vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jarred Kelenic has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 away games (+20.30 Units / 127% ROI)
• Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 25% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+15.35 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 14 games (+37.30 Units / 266% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+13.55 Units / 75% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.50 Units / 20% ROI)
• Kyle Higashioka has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+11.20 Units / 140% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.80 Units / 55% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 79 games (+28.40 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 43 away games (+11.74 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 away games (+9.40 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.85 Units / 32% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+10.65 Units / 51% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.55 Units / 59% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.85 Units / 17% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 65 games (+3.50 Units / 4% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.25 Units / 13% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 43-50 against the Run Line (-6.45 Units / -5.99% ROI).

• 52-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.45 Units / -7.98% ROI
• 32-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.75 Units / -28.38% ROI
• 56-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.55 Units / 19.87% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 48-49 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.33% ROI).

• 49-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -6.79% ROI
• 52-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.1 Units / 3.88% ROI
• 44-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.65 Units / -12.66% ROI

Padres vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .062 (4-for-65) against Reynaldo Lopez with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .144 (19-for-132) against Reynaldo Lopez with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: .254 — 99th Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has allowed an OPS of just .294 (84 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .733 — 100th Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has allowed an OBP of just .252 (464 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .300 — 97th Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dylan Cease has thrown breaking pitches 59% of the time (581/988) against right-handed batters this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 37% (181/487) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .201 (133-for-663) against Dylan Cease when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has thrown breaking pitches 59% of the time (1,582/2,669) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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