Twins vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 13
Twins vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 13

The Minnesota Twins (-120) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+100) on Saturday, July 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Twins are 53-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 47-48 ATS.

Twins vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 3-1, 3.49 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Hayden Birdsong 1-0, 4.50 ERA

Twins vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 away games (+21.80 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.90 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 34 games (+33.00 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+10.05 Units / 36% ROI)

  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 74 games (+8.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+6.95 Units / 35% ROI)

  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 54 games (+15.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+10.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+9.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 43 games at home (+8.60 Units / 15% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 44-50 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -5.74% ROI).

  • 53-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.19% ROI
  • 47-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.05% ROI
  • 43-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.85 Units / -8.63% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 47-48 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -3.93% ROI).

  • 46-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.3 Units / -6.43% ROI
  • 53-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.45 Units / 10.06% ROI
  • 39-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.6 Units / -18.65% ROI

Giants vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1100

Giants vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Willi Castro (MIN) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Thairo Estrada (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Max Kepler (MIN) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Giants vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Correa (MIN) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Max Kepler (MIN) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Giants vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) 4.5 -105 4.5 -125
Hayden Birdsong (SF) 5.5 +100 5.5 -130

Simeon Woods Richardson has a strikeout rate of just 11% (2 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 2nd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 22% — 20th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .424 (14 GB hits out of 33 GBs) against Simeon Woods Richardson with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .258 — first Percentile.

Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .216 (11 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .371 — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (20/121) against Simeon Woods Richardson on changeups this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 30% — sixth Perc entile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hayden Birdsong has allowed an OBP of .471 (17 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — 4th highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .324 — seventh Percentile.

Hayden Birdsong has allowed an OPS of .810 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — 10th highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .587 — 19th Percentile.

Hayden Birdsong has allowed a slugging percentage of .588 (10 Total Bases / 17 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .335 — 12th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .400 (6-for-15) against Hayden Birdsong when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — eighth Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

  
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