Guardians vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 13
Guardians vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 13

The Cleveland Guardians (-105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-115) on Saturday, July 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Guardians are 57-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 45-49 ATS.

Guardians vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 0-1, 4.83 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 3-6, 4.46 ERA

Guardians vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)

  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 56 of their last 93 games (+15.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 93 games (+13.92 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 79 games (+11.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.10 Units / 26% ROI)

  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 59 of their last 91 games (+24.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 85 games (+9.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.10 Units / 21% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 47-46 against the Run Line (+4.6 Units / 4.08% ROI).

  • 57-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.92 Units / 11.37% ROI
  • 47-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 2.77% ROI
  • 40-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.55 Units / -11.35% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 45-49 against the Run Line (-7.15 Units / -5.75% ROI).

  • 47-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.35 Units / -7.95% ROI
  • 45-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.25 Units / -5.08% ROI
  • 46-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -3.09% ROI

Rays vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Josh Naylor (CLE) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Rays vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Naylor (CLE) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Will Brennan (CLE) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Andres Gimenez (CLE) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
David Fry (CLE) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Rays vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Josh Naylor (CLE) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
David Fry (CLE) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Rays vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zack Littell (TB) 3.5 -125 3.5 -105
Gavin Williams (CLE) 5.5 -105 5.5 -125

Opponents are hitting .353 (6-for-17) against Gavin Williams when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 3rd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .229 — eighth Percentile.

Gavin Williams has not allowed a home run in any of the last 21.1 innings he’s appeared — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 65.1.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 56% (9/16) against Gavin Williams this month (2 games) — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 86th Percentile.

Gavin Williams has allowed an OBP of .389 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 3rd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .290 — 15th Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

11 of Zack Littell’s 30 breaking pitch strikeouts (37%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .292 (114-for-390) against Zack Littell this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .330 (38-for-115) against Zack Littell versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .220 — first Percentile.

Zack Littell has walked 4 of 160 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

  
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