The Minnesota Twins (-135) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+110) on Friday, July 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Twins are 53-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 46-48 ATS.
Twins vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 6-5, 3.29 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 4-4, 4.26 ERA
Twins vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Twins vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 away games (+21.80 Units / 87% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.90 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 34 games (+33.00 Units / 97% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+10.05 Units / 36% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 73 games (+10.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 53 games (+14.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 62 games (+9.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+9.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 42 games at home (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 44-49 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -4.93% ROI).
- 53-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 0.95% ROI
- 46-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -1.04% ROI
- 43-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -7.64% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 46-48 against the Run Line (-5.95 Units / -4.77% ROI).
- 45-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -7.59% ROI
- 52-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.45 Units / 9.19% ROI
- 39-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.5 Units / -17.79% ROI
Giants vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Giants vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Giants vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Harrison (SF) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Joe Ryan (MIN) | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -115 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .204 (10-for-49) against Joe Ryan on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 15 AB’s against Joe Ryan in late innings this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has walked 5 of 162 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Harrison has walked 4 of 17 batters (23%) this month (1 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 49% of the time (140/288) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 99th Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has thrown fastballs 68% of the time (258/381) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 22% (108/485) against Kyle Harrison this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 29% — second Percentile.