Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 12
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 12

The Toronto Blue Jays (+110) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-135) on Friday, July 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Blue Jays are 43-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 47-47 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez 1-3, 3.69 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 6-6, 5.07 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 27 away games (+9.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 92 games (+8.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 away games (+7.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.85 Units / 54% ROI)

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games (+13.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games (+5.80 Units / 10% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 43-50 against the Run Line (-17.3 Units / -13.6% ROI).

  • 43-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.75 Units / -11.64% ROI
  • 45-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -4.5% ROI
  • 45-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -4.64% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 47-47 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -5.37% ROI).

  • 47-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -3.08% ROI
  • 49-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 2.5% ROI
  • 42-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.45 Units / -11.15% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Danny Jansen (TOR) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ernie Clement (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Danny Jansen (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Danny Jansen (TOR) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185

Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryne Nelson (ARI) 3.5 -120 3.5 -110
Yariel Rodriguez (TOR) 4.5 +125 4.5 -165

Opponents are hitting just .077 (3-for-39) against Yariel Rodriguez in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitless in 18 AB’s against Yariel Rodriguez when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .229 — 100th Percentile.

Yariel Rodriguez has allowed an OPS of just .000 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .660 — 100th Percentile.

Yariel Rodriguez has not allowed a runner to reach base (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .281 — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting .350 (56-for-160) against Ryne Nelson this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .572 (243 Total Bases / 425 ABs) at home since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: .396 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .349 (53-for-152) against Ryne Nelson at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .241 — second Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .593 (230 Total Bases / 388 ABs) at home since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 0 Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

  
Read Full Article