The Texas Rangers (+125) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-150) on Friday, July 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Rangers are 44-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 48-45 ATS.

Rangers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 3-9, 3.79 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 6-6, 4.54 ERA

Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Rangers vs Astros and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+16.10 Units / 201% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 36 games (+15.45 Units / 29% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+14.05 Units / 45% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.85 Units / 29% ROI)
• Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 89 games (+15.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+8.15 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 41 games (+4.95 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.70 Units / 45% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 35 games (+16.70 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games (+13.30 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+12.75 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.65 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 9 games at home (+9.50 Units / 61% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 44-49 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -7.96% ROI).

• 44-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.75 Units / -10.91% ROI
• 36-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -21 Units / -20.49% ROI
• 52-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.75 Units / 12.48% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 48-45 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 3.46% ROI).

• 49-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -5.51% ROI
• 37-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.45 Units / -20.12% ROI
• 53-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.45 Units / 12.08% ROI

Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a swing rate of 64% (146/229) against Andrew Heaney on changeups this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .179 (35-for-196) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 100th Percentile.

Andrew Heaney has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 57% (608/1,059) of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 55% of Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs (990/1,806) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 99th Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hunter Brown has walked 15 of 99 batters (15%) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .420 (68-for-162) against Hunter Brown in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .320 — first Percentile.

Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of .383 (162 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — third Percentile.

Hunter Brown has allowed a slugging percentage of .659 (27 Total Bases / 41 ABs) on fastballs away this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .353 — sixth Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
Read Full Article