The Oakland Athletics (+180) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-225) on Thursday, July 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Athletics are 35-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 43-48 ATS.

Athletics vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Athletics starting pitcher: Luis Medina 2-3, 4.42 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 7-6, 2.66 ERA

Athletics vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Athletics vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 67.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

• Zack Gelof has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+24.00 Units / 120% ROI)
• Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
• Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.35 Units / 57% ROI)
• JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+9.85 Units / 20% ROI)
• Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+8.65 Units / 72% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+16.65 Units / 39% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 37 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.75 Units / 53% ROI)
• Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.25 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)

Athletics Best Bets Today:

• The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 44 away games (+10.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games (+9.85 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.50 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.30 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+7.60 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.15 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.05 Units / 22% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 47-47 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -8.22% ROI).

• 35-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.5 Units / -10.77% ROI
• 41-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.3 Units / -13.89% ROI
• 50-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 4% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 43-48 against the Run Line (-10.55 Units / -8.75% ROI).

• 50-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 3.87% ROI
• 44-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -1.65% ROI
• 42-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.2 Units / -6.17% ROI

Red Sox vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Medina has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (328/648) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (36/268) against Luis Medina on elevated fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.

Luis Medina has walked 35 of 264 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

Luis Medina has walked 75 of 652 batters (12%) since last season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .176 (9-for-51) against Tanner Houck when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .321 — 100th Percentile.

Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .253 (57 Total Bases / 225 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .398 — 95th Percentile.

Tanner Houck has allowed an OPS of just .513 (244 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .700 — 97th Percentile.

Tanner Houck has allowed an OPS of just .455 (162 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .677 — 98th Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
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