The New York Yankees (-115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-105) on Thursday, July 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Yankees are 56-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 43-49 ATS.
Yankees vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 4-7, 3.42 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 0-1, 4.50 ERA
Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 22 of his last 45 games (+23.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 60 games (+15.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 37 games (+13.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 60 games (+11.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 42 of their last 71 games (+9.44 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 away games (+7.20 Units / 12% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 58 of their last 89 games (+25.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 83 games (+9.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.10 Units / 14% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 50-44 against the Run Line (+11.3 Units / 10.15% ROI).
- 56-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 1.24% ROI
- 48-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.4 Units / 1.35% ROI
- 42-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.85 Units / -10.5% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 43-49 against the Run Line (-9.65 Units / -7.93% ROI).
- 45-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.35 Units / -9.85% ROI
- 44-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.2 Units / -5.15% ROI
- 45-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -3.16% ROI
Rays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
Jose Siri (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Rays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Rays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nestor Cortes (NYY) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
Shane Baz (TB) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .128 (5-for-39) against Nestor Cortes on low fastballs this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .259 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (63/210) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts since last season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has allowed a slugging percentage of .519 (83 Total Bases / 160 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .366 — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (84/260) against Nestor Cortes this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (5/18) against Shane Baz this month (1 games) — tied for 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 42% — ninth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 17% (7/42) against Shane Baz this month (1 games) — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 28% — fifth Percentile.