The Chicago Cubs (+120) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-140) on Thursday, July 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Cubs are 44-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 50-42 ATS.

Cubs vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele 1-3, 2.94 ERA
• Orioles starting pitcher: Albert Suarez 5-2, 2.48 ERA

Cubs vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Cubs vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+18.20 Units / 34% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+14.95 Units / 60% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+17.55 Units / 56% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
• Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
• Cedric Mullins has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 69% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 67 games (+10.95 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 81 games (+10.80 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 67 games (+9.75 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.30 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 58% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 83 games (+15.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 77 games (+14.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+8.30 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 45 games (+6.70 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+5.45 Units / 9% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 45-48 against the Run Line (-13.3 Units / -10.3% ROI).

• 44-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -5.34% ROI
• 40-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.65 Units / -14.36% ROI
• 50-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.1 Units / 5.94% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 50-42 against the Run Line (+15.8 Units / 14.93% ROI).

• 57-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.55 Units / 6.47% ROI
• 47-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.05 Units / 10.09% ROI
• 34-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.95 Units / -17.84% ROI

Orioles vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Justin Steele has allowed a slugging percentage of just .283 (101 Total Bases / 357 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .388 — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (466/1,036) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .067 (2-for-30) against Justin Steele this month (1 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has allowed an OBP of just .125 (32 PA’s) this month (1 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .301 — 98th Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Albert Suarez has allowed an OBP of just .056 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .288 — 97th Percentile.

Albert Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .111 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .704 — 98th Percentile.

Albert Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .443 (76 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .735 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (11/35) against Albert Suarez in his last two starts — 5th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

  
Read Full Article