The Los Angeles Dodgers (+125) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-155) on Thursday, July 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Dodgers are 55-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 49-43 ATS.
Dodgers vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Landon Knack 1-2, 2.86 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 10-4, 3.52 ERA
Dodgers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Dodgers vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM
$1500 First Bet Offer
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+13.75 Units / 92% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.45 Units / 79% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Walks Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 39 games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+11.60 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 37 games (+19.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 40 games (+17.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cristian Pache has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+13.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- Cristian Pache has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 25 games at home (+12.10 Units / 48% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 away games (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 19 away games (+2.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 away games (+2.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.25 Units / 10% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 51 of their last 77 games (+23.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 75 games (+22.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 74 games (+19.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 39 games at home (+16.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 75 games (+12.45 Units / 14% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 46-47 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -6.73% ROI).
- 55-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.75 Units / -7.36% ROI
- 48-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.44% ROI
- 44-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.7 Units / -8.48% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 49-43 against the Run Line (+5.45 Units / 4.91% ROI).
- 60-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.9 Units / 8.53% ROI
- 41-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.95 Units / -9.79% ROI
- 46-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 0.74% ROI
Phillies vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -200 |
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -225 |
Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
Phillies vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Miguel Rojas (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Phillies vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Phillies vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Landon Knack (LAD) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Aaron Nola (PHI) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 0% (0/11) against Landon Knack this month (1 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Landon Knack has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 11 innings — Hunter Gaddis has the longest active streak at 22.
Hitters have swung at 39% of Landon Knack’s pitches (33/85) this month (1 games) — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 48% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 15% (6/41) against Landon Knack this month (1 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola has allowed an OBP of just .232 (734 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have chased 145 of Aaron Nola’s 298 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 49%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (105/310) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 97th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (439/1,374) when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 165 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 96th Percentile.