The Washington Nationals (+155) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-190) on Wednesday, July 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Nationals are 42-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 43-47 ATS.

Nationals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 1-8, 5.53 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Luis Severino 5-3, 3.82 ERA

Nationals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jesse Winker has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+13.20 Units / 189% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.10 Units / 57% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+12.10 Units / 14% ROI)
• Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+10.35 Units / 86% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+25.20 Units / 315% ROI)
• J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+15.75 Units / 72% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
• J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 42 games (+11.10 Units / 13% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.60 Units / 82% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 84 games (+10.85 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 84 games (+8.75 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 84 games (+3.20 Units / 4% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 51 of their last 81 games (+15.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games (+10.25 Units / 19% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.85 Units / 46% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.10 Units / 64% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 52-40 against the Run Line (+6.93 Units / 5.81% ROI).

• 42-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.5 Units / 5.68% ROI
• 43-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.3 Units / -5.26% ROI
• 44-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.72 Units / -3.66% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 43-47 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -5.91% ROI).

• 45-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -2.38% ROI
• 47-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.05 Units / 5.16% ROI
• 38-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.95 Units / -13.52% ROI

Mets vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .315 (209-for-664) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .311 (127-for-409) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .293 (186-for-634) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — fourth Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed a slugging percentage of .536 (165 Total Bases / 308 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .371 — first Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (55/310) against Luis Severino this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (25/152) against Luis Severino this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Luis Severino has struck out just 16% (35/213) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.

Luis Severino has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (188/429) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

  
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