The Minnesota Twins (-175) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+145) on Tuesday, July 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Twins are 52-39 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 42-51 ATS.
Twins vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 8-4, 4.12 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 6-3, 3.12 ERA
Twins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Twins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 61.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 away games (+21.80 Units / 87% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.90 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+17.00 Units / 170% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 74 games (+15.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 71 games (+10.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.80 Units / 24% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.15 Units / 17% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 44-47 against the Run Line (-3.4 Units / -2.97% ROI).
- 52-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 1.44% ROI
- 46-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.1 Units / 1.11% ROI
- 41-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.75 Units / -9.83% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 42-51 against the Run Line (-14 Units / -12.47% ROI).
- 26-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -32 Units / -33.51% ROI
- 43-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -6.48% ROI
- 45-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -1.84% ROI
White Sox vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
White Sox vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
White Sox vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
White Sox vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
| Erick Fedde (CWS) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (29/99) against Bailey Ober in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (83/252) against Bailey Ober this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (35/117) against Bailey Ober this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — seventh Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 75% of the time (1,538/2,054) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has a strikeout rate of just 18% (22 SO in 122 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — third Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 49% (301/608) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Erick Fedde has walked 7 of 162 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 88th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .391 (18-for-46) against Erick Fedde on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .259 — fourth Percentile.