The Houston Astros (+110) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-130) on Sunday, July 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Astros are 46-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 43-46 ATS.
Astros vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 4-7, 6.17 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 3-1, 3.54 ERA
Astros vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Astros vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+14.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 82% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+9.85 Units / 19% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 72 games (+13.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 53 games (+10.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+6.35 Units / 11% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 72 games (+15.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+10.30 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 69 games (+8.80 Units / 9% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 45-44 against the Run Line (+2.05 Units / 1.88% ROI).
- 46-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -7.45% ROI
- 35-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.3 Units / -20.88% ROI
- 51-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.55 Units / 12.71% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 43-46 against the Run Line (-3.4 Units / -3.04% ROI).
- 50-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.12% ROI
- 45-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.1 Units / 1.14% ROI
- 40-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.7 Units / -10.01% ROI
Twins vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Twins vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Twins vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Twins vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
| Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Arrighetti has walked 21 of 124 batters (17%) versus the top of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has an ERA of 7.12 (36.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 4.12 — 0 Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OBP of .413 (126 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .301 — 0 Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has walked 15 of 126 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.