The Milwaukee Brewers (-105) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-115) on Saturday, July 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Brewers are 52-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 44-45 ATS.
Brewers vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 6-4, 3.86 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: James Paxton 7-2, 4.34 ERA
Brewers vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 away games (+19.00 Units / 136% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+13.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+13.75 Units / 92% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.45 Units / 79% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+12.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 39 games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 89 games (+12.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 52 of their last 89 games (+10.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 85 games (+9.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 51 of their last 89 games (+6.69 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 61 games (+5.35 Units / 7% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+11.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+1.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games at home (+1.90 Units / 3% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 46-43 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.09% ROI).
- 52-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.5 Units / 11.24% ROI
- 47-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.9 Units / 7.09% ROI
- 37-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.7 Units / -14.93% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 44-45 against the Run Line (-7.05 Units / -6.64% ROI).
- 54-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -5.94% ROI
- 46-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -0.36% ROI
- 42-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.55 Units / -8.71% ROI
Dodgers vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Dodgers vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Dodgers vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Dodgers vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 +100 |
James Paxton (LAD) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .198 (76-for-384) against Freddy Peralta when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .115 (22-for-192) against Freddy Peralta with two-strikes this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .167 (23-for-138) against Freddy Peralta when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — 95th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 55% (120 SO in 217 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
James Paxton has walked 36 of 279 right-handed batters (13%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .471 (8 GB hits out of 17 GBs) against James Paxton with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .240 — first Percentile.
James Paxton has a strikeout rate of just 30% (53 SO in 174 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
James Paxton has walked 20 of 126 batters (16%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.