The Toronto Blue Jays (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-150) on Friday, July 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 39-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 40-49 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 6-7, 4.75 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 6-9, 3.87 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games at home (+15.60 Units / 120% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+15.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 86 games (+11.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+5.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 away games (+5.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.35 Units / 12% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 44 games at home (+15.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+12.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games at home (+8.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games (+7.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.40 Units / 13% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 38-49 against the Run Line (-21.3 Units / -18.18% ROI).
- 39-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -14.68% ROI
- 41-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.3 Units / -6.6% ROI
- 43-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -2.45% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 40-49 against the Run Line (-14.45 Units / -12.45% ROI).
- 48-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -1.22% ROI
- 35-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.95 Units / -19.74% ROI
- 50-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.35 Units / 11.59% ROI
Mariners vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
Dominic Canzone (SEA) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Spencer Horwitz (TOR) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Dominic Canzone (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 6.5 -160 | 6.5 +125 |
Luis Castillo (Sea) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -140 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (32 Total Bases / 48 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .357 — eighth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .327 (17-for-52) against Kevin Gausman’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .208 — third Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 85 of Kevin Gausman’s 461 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 52% (330/630) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 41% (51 SO in 123 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 95th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .286 (54-for-189) against Luis Castillo this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 11th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .414 (92 Total Bases / 222 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .285 — fourth Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .259 (29 Total Bases / 112 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .356 — 84th Percentile.